After striking Cuba as a Category 3 storm, Hurricane Rafael has weakened to a Category 2 and is expected to slow down while moving westward through the Gulf of Mexico. Louisiana and other Gulf states are not likely to be significantly impacted, although some coastal flooding may occur. Simultaneously, another low-pressure system is being monitored over the northern Leeward Islands with potential rainfall consequences for nearby regions.
Hurricane Rafael, which made landfall in Cuba as a Category 3 storm, is projected to weaken as it traverses the southern Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami announced that the storm has diminished to a Category 2 system with sustained winds of 105 mph and is currently moving northwest at 9 mph. As it progresses, forecasters anticipate a reduction in its forward speed over the next few days, causing Rafael to remain in the Gulf region longer, although significant impacts on U.S. Gulf Coast states such as Louisiana are not expected. Coastal flooding may occur at low to moderate levels; however, Louisiana is no longer considered to be within the storm’s cone of uncertainty. The Dry Tortugas region of Florida is expected to encounter tropical storm-force winds Thursday morning, coinciding with ongoing heavy rainfall in western Cuba. Residents in the southern and southwestern Gulf areas are advised to remain vigilant as swells from Rafael are expected to reach the region late this week into the weekend. In addition to Hurricane Rafael, the NHC is monitoring another weather system characterized by disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern Leeward Islands. This system is anticipated to move westward near the Greater Antilles over the next few days, with a 20% chance of developing into a tropical system. Regardless of further development, heavy rainfall is predicted for the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas until Saturday.
Hurricane Rafael’s impact began on Wednesday when it struck Cuba, prompting concern over its trajectory across the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center plays a crucial role in tracking and forecasting the intensity and path of tropical storms and hurricanes, providing essential information to residents and stakeholders in vulnerable regions. Understanding the storm’s classification, winds, and expected land interaction is vital for assessing risks and preparing for potential flooding and storm surges. The concurrent observation of another weather system adds to the significance of comprehensive monitoring during hurricane season.
In summary, Hurricane Rafael has weakened but continues to pose risks with potential coastal flooding and strong winds in certain areas. The situation remains under careful observation by the National Hurricane Center, particularly as a secondary weather disturbance develops in the Atlantic. Coastal residents are encouraged to stay informed and prepared as storm conditions evolve in the coming days.
Original Source: www.nola.com