The article delves into Oman’s response to the unexpected fall of Bashar al-Assad in Syria, emphasizing its historical diplomatic ties with Damascus and the varied societal narratives arising from this regime change. It addresses Oman’s commitment to a non-interference policy while highlighting growing criticism of Israeli military actions post-Assad, reflecting both government and societal sentiments toward regional stability and sovereignty.
On December 8, 2024, Baathist rule in Syria came to an unexpected end, leaving Gulf states grappling with its implications. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members were caught off guard by the swift military defeat of Bashar al-Assad’s regime by rebel forces. In pursuit of regional stability and to prevent power vacuums following this regime change, the Gulf Arab monarchies have pragmatically turned their attention to the new Islamist factions now governing Damascus.
Oman presents a noteworthy case among Gulf states, having maintained a consistent diplomatic relationship with Syria throughout the civil war. After withdrawing its ambassador in 2012 in line with Arab League decisions, Oman did not sever ties entirely and restored its ambassador in 2020. Today, Oman approaches the new regime in Syria cautiously, assessing the implications for regional dynamics while aligning its policies with other GCC members. This measured response reflects Oman’s longstanding commitment to a neutral foreign policy characterized by engagement rather than alignment.
Throughout the Syrian conflict, Oman has endorsed diplomatic resolutions, facilitating dialogue with the Assad government. Visits to Damascus by Omani officials underscore this commitment and highlight Oman’s role as a mediator among GCC states. The change in leadership has necessitated a reassessment of relations, prompting Omani officials to underscore respect for the Syrian people’s will and Syria’s territorial integrity in their communications with the new government.
The response to Assad’s fall has sparked varied reactions within Omani society, with three predominant narratives emerging. One faction lauds Iran’s role in supporting Assad and perceives his downfall as detrimental to the Arab resistance against Israel. The second group celebrates the overthrow as a victory against tyranny, seeing hope in HTS’s promises of moderation despite their controversial history. The third narrative expresses concern that Islamist rule may follow Assad’s secular regime, stirring anxiety among liberal segments of society.
Despite internal divisions over Assad’s legacy, Omani society is united in its condemnation of Israeli military actions against Syria post-December 2024. Growing anti-Western sentiment stems from perceptions of Israeli aggression, compounded by events in Gaza. As the Grand Mufti of Oman publicly framed the regime change as a peaceful achievement, he simultaneously criticized Israel’s incursions, reflecting a national consensus around supporting Syria’s sovereignty.
Moving forward, Oman gestures towards condemnation of Israeli actions while carefully maintaining its historic policy of non-interference in other nations’ internal affairs. The Sultanate’s emphasis on diplomatic dialogue mirrors regional sentiments and aims to ensure Syria’s stability. Oman seeks a balanced approach to international engagement in the transitional stages of Syrian governance while advocating for Syrian-led solutions to emerge from the chaos.
The article examines Oman’s nuanced response to the significant political changes following the ousting of Bashar al-Assad in Syria. It contextualizes the unexpected fall of the Assad regime within the broader reactions of Gulf states, particularly the GCC. Oman stands out for its consistent diplomatic relations with Syria and its historical policy of equidistant relations across Middle Eastern nations. The article also highlights diverse narratives within Omani society regarding the implications of Assad’s removal, alongside the recent intensification of criticism against Israeli actions post-regime change.
In conclusion, Oman navigates the complexities of Syria’s regime change with a distinctive blend of caution and engagement. The Sultanate’s historical commitment to diplomatic dialogue and non-interference shapes its current approach as it seeks to align with GCC interests while addressing diverse societal views on Assad’s ouster. As regional dynamics evolve, Oman’s responses illuminate broader anxieties about stability and the balance of power in the Middle East.
Original Source: arabcenterdc.org
