Recent military developments indicate a potential shift in Sudan’s civil war, with Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan’s forces reclaiming the presidential palace from the RSF. The conflict remains grave, marked by atrocities from both sides and a severe humanitarian crisis, exacerbated by international neglect. The situation in neighboring South Sudan is also precarious, with deteriorating conditions prompting warnings of a possible relapse into civil war.
The ongoing civil war in Sudan, one of Africa’s largest countries, may be reaching a pivotal moment. Despite international diplomatic efforts failing to end the conflict, recent developments indicate a potential shift in military dynamics. Forces loyal to army chief Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan reclaimed the presidential palace in Khartoum, which had been under the control of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), led by warlord Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, also known as Hemedti. This palace was the last significant stronghold of the RSF in the city.
The Sudanese army has been making notable gains, having recently regained control of the central bank amid reports of increased shelling in Omdurman, a city adjacent to Khartoum. The RSF has struggled with supply issues and has faced enhanced military support for Burhan’s forces through new drone assistance from Iran and Turkey. The military’s recent successes were hailed in a statement, emphasizing the conquest as a representation of national sovereignty.
Rights organizations have condemned atrocities committed by both the Sudanese army and the RSF, with the latter accused of engaging in heinous acts in Darfur. The Biden administration previously imposed sanctions on Hemedti for his involvement in these actions. Providing humanitarian aid amidst the conflict remains a challenge, as violence has disrupted logistics, leaving many in dire need of assistance.
The RSF purportedly receives backing from the United Arab Emirates, particularly due to its interests in gold mining regions, while the Sudanese army is supported by Egypt, Turkey, and Iran. Peace efforts have been largely ineffective, with ceasefires frequently collapsing soon after being established. The RSF continues to control significant territories, particularly in the west and south, complicating the possibility of a swift resolution to the conflict.
The unrest in Sudan has also impacted neighboring South Sudan, where a fragile power-sharing agreement has deteriorated. Renewed violence has led to foreign governments evacuating personnel from South Sudan’s capital as the threat of civil war looms. Analysts highlight the broader consequences of international neglect, citing extreme shortfalls in humanitarian aid for both countries.
Despite some political support for humanitarian aid to Sudan, drastic budget cuts and shifts in U.S. foreign assistance policy are exacerbating the crisis. Local organizations warn that diminishing aid will significantly worsen food insecurity and healthcare access.
In summary, while military developments suggest a shift in the conflict’s dynamics as Burhan’s forces regain control, the humanitarian situation remains bleak and is further complicated by international failure to adequately address the needs of those suffering in Sudan and South Sudan.
In conclusion, while the Sudanese army appears to be gaining ground in the civil war against the RSF, the situation remains complex and fraught with challenges. The humanitarian crisis continues to escalate, with international neglect exacerbating the plight of millions in need. The ongoing conflict poses significant risks not just within Sudan but also in the broader region, particularly impacting South Sudan. Without substantial international support and intervention, the suffering in these nations is expected to deepen.
Original Source: www.washingtonpost.com
