Professor Jok Madut Jok warns that South Sudan’s 2018 peace agreement is nearing collapse due to heightened tensions between President Kiir and First Vice President Machar. He emphasizes the urgent decisions facing the SPLM/A-IO and outlines the consequences of ongoing communal violence and economic crises. He calls for unity among citizens and accountability from leaders, asserting that the future of the nation hinges on forthcoming choices.
Professor Jok Madut Jok, an esteemed South Sudanese political analyst and anthropology professor at Syracuse University, has issued a grave warning regarding the precarious state of South Sudan’s 2018 peace agreement. During an interview with Radio Tamazuj, he highlighted intensifying tensions between President Salva Kiir and First Vice President Riek Machar, suggesting that the SPLM/A-IO, led by Dr. Machar, now faces a crucial dilemma between adaptation to the current political landscape or a return to conflict.
Prof. Jok stated, “The peace agreement is collapsing.” He elaborated that the SPLA-IO must determine whether to compromise its position or resume fighting, a choice critical to the nation’s future. Dr. Machar’s situation is particularly alarming, as he reportedly remains under house arrest, with numerous commanders either hiding or in active conflict. The ruling SPLM-IG has usurped positions meant for others, notably claiming the governorship of Jonglei, highlighting Kiir’s waning commitment to the peace process.
He forewarned that the ongoing trends could lead to a complete disintegration of the peace agreement. “The SPLM-IG will consolidate power, exclude others, and the agreement will no longer hold.” This scenario leaves the opposition with only the options of submission or rebellion, stressing that the stability of the agreement is critically endangered.
Prof. Jok also pointed out the alarming rise of deadly communal conflicts across South Sudan, attributing them to political strife in Juba. He remarked, “Conflicts are increasing and becoming more lethal,” referencing escalating tensions between ethnic groups. The Revitalized Agreement on the Resolution of the Conflict in South Sudan (R-ARCSS) is proving inadequate in addressing foundational violence, as everyday violence persists despite a reduction in warfare between major factions.
The professor painted a dire picture of the nation’s economic conditions, citing failed harvests and disrupted trade as significant challenges exacerbated by external conflicts. He expressed deep concerns that a return to large-scale warfare would yield disastrous consequences, criticizing the leadership for prioritizing power retention over national wellbeing. He specifically condemned the deployment of Ugandan troops, stating, “It is seen as serving the interests of those in power, not the majority.”
Additionally, Prof. Jok criticized the government for its failure to compensate domestic soldiers while financing foreign troops, which has caused significant resentment within the national army. He emphasized that prioritizing foreign forces undermines national unity and sovereignty.
He called for collective accountability among South Sudanese citizens, advocating for a united front against injustices and urging the government to uphold human rights. He warned that if the government secures power undemocratically, the international community might withdraw support. Prof. Jok concluded with a stark caution: “South Sudan is at a crossroads. The choices made in the coming weeks and months will determine whether the country descends into further chaos or finds a path to lasting peace.”
In summary, the warnings from Professor Jok Madut Jok underscore the fragility of South Sudan’s peace deal and the severe implications of escalating political tensions. With the SPLM/A-IO facing critical decisions about their future engagement in politics, communal conflicts surging, and economic hardships rising, the country stands at a pivotal moment. The call for accountability and unity among citizens and a strong response from the international community may play essential roles in determining South Sudan’s path forward.
Original Source: www.radiotamazuj.org
