Iran faces critical challenges, including weakened regional allies and the impact of U.S. policies under Trump. Despite perceptions of vulnerability, the government views setbacks as temporary. Iran is enacting measured reforms to solidify domestic support while resisting external pressures, particularly from the U.S. The regime’s strategy centers on maintaining resilience and avoiding division within Iranian society.
Iran has encountered significant challenges over the past year, including diminishing power among its regional allies, Hamas and Hezbollah, and the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria. The anticipated return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency signals a potential revival of the stringent policies that had previously destabilized Iran’s economy since 2018. Following these events, many U.S. officials contend that the Islamic Republic is witnessing a strategic decline. Notably, Richard Haass remarked in Foreign Affairs that, “Iran is weaker and more vulnerable than it has been in decades… likely since the 1979 revolution.” This perception suggests opportunities for adversaries to target Iranian nuclear facilities or negotiate significant concessions.
In light of recent setbacks, Iran appears to be taking calculated steps aimed at reinforcing its domestic support while maintaining its longstanding antagonism toward Western pressures. The leadership’s reforms, albeit incremental, are intended to mitigate internal unrest and strengthen public backing in the face of external threats. Tehran aims to emerge more cohesive and resilient, however, it remains steadfast in pursuing its strategic objectives, emphasizing national sovereignty over appeasement.
Original Source: www.foreignaffairs.com
