Officials in Tigray warn that Ethiopia and Eritrea may be on the brink of war, risking a humanitarian crisis in the Horn of Africa. Tensions stem from internal conflicts and the fallout of the Tigray civil war. Military mobilization by both nations has raised alarm about a potential conflict, suggesting a deterioration of relations since their recent rapprochement.
Ethiopia and Eritrea are facing increased tensions, with warnings from Tigray officials about the potential for war. This conflict threatens to create a humanitarian disaster in the Horn of Africa, following a previous civil war in Tigray that resulted in significant loss of life. Analysts caution that military engagement between the two nations could also pull in other regional powers.
General Tsadkan Gebretensae, who serves in Tigray’s interim administration, expressed concerns over the immediate danger of war, noting the precarious political situation since the TPLF split into factions. Following this division, an opposing faction recently gained control of Adigrat, prompting Tigray’s interim administration to seek assistance from the federal government.
Tensions persist without any comment from Ethiopia’s federal government, while Eritrea’s information minister has dismissed these warnings, labeling them as unfounded. Despite this dismissal, Eritrea has mobilized its military, and Ethiopia has been reportedly deploying troops near the border. Notably, the volatility in Tigray is deemed a severe risk for escalating conflict.
Former U.S. and EU envoys have noted how deteriorating conditions in Tigray could ignite conflict, describing the situation as “dry tinder waiting for a match.” Historically, relations between Eritrea and Ethiopia have been contentious since Eritrea’s independence in 1993 and subsequent border wars, and recent political maneuvers have further aggravated these tensions.
Following the normalization of ties in 2018 under Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and President Isaias Afwerki, relations have nonetheless soured, particularly due to Eritrea’s exclusion from ongoing peace talks. The recent security pact signed by Eritrea with Egypt and Somalia reflects apprehensions over Ethiopia’s regional aspirations.
In summary, rising tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea could lead to war, impacting regional stability and the humanitarian situation in the Horn of Africa. Warnings from officials in Tigray highlight the fragility of current relations, further complicated by military mobilizations and historical grievances. Continued vigilance and diplomatic engagement are essential to prevent escalation and protect vulnerable populations in the region.
Original Source: www.thestar.com.my
