Tropical Storm Jude struck Mozambique, causing severe flooding and influencing unexpected rainfall in Kenya. Dr. David Gikungu from the Kenya Meteorological Department linked the storm to changes in rain patterns. Although rains are temporary, concerns over flooding remain, particularly in light of past El Niño and La Niña events. The long rainy season’s true onset is still anticipated later in March.
On March 10, 2025, Tropical Storm Jude made landfall in Mozambique’s Mossuril district, unleashing maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h and gusts reaching 195 km/h. This storm resulted in significant rainfall exceeding 250 mm within 24 hours, provoking severe flooding in Mozambique’s Nampula and Zambezia provinces. The storm has been associated with the recent sudden rainfall observed across Kenya.
Dr. David Gikungu, Director of the Kenya Meteorological Department, attributed Kenya’s heavy rainfall to the cyclone impacting wind patterns and ushering additional moisture from the Indian Ocean into the region. He elaborated that strong winds are vital in transporting moisture over water bodies, and the location of hills and forests further influences rainfall distribution.
In a statement, Dr. Gikungu mentioned that the rains are expected to abate by Wednesday evening, acknowledging some continued precipitation in coastal and western regions. He cautioned that this rainfall does not mark the beginning of the long rainy season, which typically occurs from March to May, beginning around mid-March.
Experts have expressed concerns that the cyclone’s effects might extend the rainy period, consequently increasing the likelihood of floods, particularly following recent weather patterns influenced by El Niño and La Niña. Dr. Gikungu emphasized, “current forecasts do not indicate a direct impact of Cyclone Jude on Kenya’s rainfall,” although he cautioned that future dynamics could alter this situation, with the Meteorological Department promising timely updates.
Tropical Storm Jude in Mozambique has had a noticeable impact on weather patterns in neighboring Kenya, resulting in unexpected rainfall. While this precipitation is temporary and not indicative of the upcoming long rainy season, experts are wary of the potential for prolonged rainfall and flooding. The Meteorological Department remains vigilant, ensuring updates are provided as weather dynamics evolve.
Original Source: eastleighvoice.co.ke
