Turkey aims to be pivotal in European security with its robust military and strategic geography. President Erdogan asserts that no European security framework can be established without Turkey’s cooperation. Despite its arms support to Ukraine, Turkey continues to maintain relations with Russia and seeks to enhance its defense industry, aiming to reshape regional power dynamics while addressing its national interests.
Turkey, equipped with NATO’s second-largest army and a significant coastline along the Black Sea, is positioning itself as a crucial participant in European security, particularly in light of the United States’ diminishing involvement in the region. Following two rounds of discussions concerning Ukraine, Ankara has asserted that European security cannot be guaranteed without its participation. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan emphasized the essential role of Turkey at a London summit, stating, “It is inconceivable to establish European security without Turkey.”
Additionally, a senior official from Turkey’s defense ministry reiterated this position, noting that the reshaping security landscape necessitates Turkey’s involvement for Europe to fulfill its global responsibilities. He stated that Turkey would consider deploying troops to Ukraine for a peacekeeping operation if necessary. Notably, Turkey has remained steadfast in defending Ukraine’s territorial integrity, providing it with drones and naval vessels since Russia’s invasion but has preserved favorable relations with Moscow and avoided joining sanctions against Russia.
Turkey has also emerged as a significant player in the defense industry, with exports increasing to $7.1 billion by 2024, thus ranking it 11th in global defense exports. The Bayraktar TB2 drones have contributed to this success, selling to over 25 countries, including Poland and Romania, enhancing Turkey’s credibility in European security discussions. Tom Waldyn, an expert from the International Institute for Strategic Studies, noted that sales to European nations bolster Turkey’s argument as a vital security ally in Europe.
With a robust military of approximately 373,200 active personnel and 378,700 reservists, Turkey plays a strategic role on NATO’s eastern flank and is active in combating insurgent groups in Syria and Iraq. Advocates for cooperation with Ankara also point out how the Cyprus dispute has hindered EU collaboration with Turkey, stressing the urgency of resolving these long-standing issues.
Turkey’s careful balancing act in its relations with both Ukraine and Russia offers it a unique standing amid shifting power dynamics. Nebahat Tanriverdi Yasar, a researcher and policy analyst, remarked on Turkey’s strategic ambitions to redefine regional power structures with EU collaboration. She highlighted Ankara’s intent to deepen defense cooperation and expand its mediation efforts in this context.
In contrast, Sumbul Kaya, a political scientist, remarked that Turkey primarily acts from its self-interest and is wary of being drawn into conflicts far from its borders. She emphasized that any military interventions are driven by national security interests rather than a desire to engage in extensive foreign military campaigns. This ongoing crisis serves as a moment for Turkey to reinforce its dual identity as a NATO member and an EU candidate.
In conclusion, Turkey’s strategic importance in European security is underscored by its military capabilities and its unique position between Russia and Ukraine. With its defense industry flourishing and a commitment to maintaining good relations with both countries, Turkey is poised to play a pivotal role in shaping future collaborations. However, cooperation with the EU may be contingent upon resolving existing disputes, particularly regarding Cyprus, as well as navigating its internal interests amid complex geopolitical dynamics.
Original Source: www.kpvi.com