The March-May 2025 climate outlook indicates a likelihood of extreme temperatures across the IGAD region, particularly impacting South Sudan. Continuous monitoring and updates are essential as observed temperatures have exceeded 40°C in certain areas, with significant risks to human health and socio-economic activities.
The 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69) reported from the ICPAC that the March-May (MAM) 2025 seasonal forecast indicated a strong possibility of higher than normal temperatures across the IGAD region. The Forum stressed the importance of monitoring forecast updates closely, particularly on a sub-seasonal timeline as most climate hazards tend to arise during this period.
Weekly forecasts throughout February pointed to the continuation of warmer temperature anomalies across the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), signaling potential extreme temperature hazards. Observational temperature analysis for February revealed extreme temperatures affecting various areas including South Sudan, Uganda, and northern and western Kenya. Daily maximum temperatures frequently exceeded 38°C, with certain regions in South Sudan and Kenya observing readings as high as 40°C.
The rising temperatures present an increasing risk to human health, livestock, and socio-economic stability. The sustained heat poses threats that demand urgent attention to mitigate adverse impacts on the populations residing in these affected areas.
The report from GHACOF 69 highlights critical climate trends indicating heightened temperatures in the IGAD region, especially in South Sudan and surrounding countries. The persistent heat raises concerns regarding human health, livestock welfare, and economic stability. Therefore, continuous monitoring of temperature forecasts and implementing adaptive measures is essential for protecting vulnerable communities.
Original Source: reliefweb.int
