Burundi’s real GDP growth is projected to decrease slightly from 2.2% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025, due to muted domestic demand and increased military expenditure. A recovery to 4.5% growth is anticipated in 2026, supported by better agricultural conditions and increased private consumption.
In 2025, Burundi is expected to experience a slight decrease in real GDP growth, falling from an estimated 2.2% in 2024 to 2.1%. This decline is attributed to subdued domestic demand, primarily due to increasing challenges affecting private consumption. Additionally, higher military expenditures are anticipated to detract from growth-driven government spending.
Looking ahead to 2026, it is projected that Burundi’s economic growth will rebound to 4.5%. This recovery is expected to be fueled by enhanced agricultural conditions, which will help control domestic price inflation and subsequently encourage an increase in private consumption.
Overall, while Burundi’s growth rate is expected to decline in 2025, signs of recovery are anticipated in 2026 due to improvements in agricultural productivity and consumption patterns. This information is derived from BMI, a branch of Fitch Solutions, and reflects independent analyses.
BMI’s projections illustrate a cautious outlook for Burundi’s economy, highlighting the key influences on growth and the potential for eventual recovery depending on agricultural and consumer developments.
We advise stakeholders to monitor these trends closely as they may significantly influence economic strategies and policies in the near future.
In conclusion, Burundi is projected to experience muted GDP growth of 2.1% in 2025 due to weak domestic demand and increased military spending. However, by 2026, economic conditions are expected to improve as agricultural output stabilizes, leading to a growth rebound of 4.5%. Monitoring these economic indicators will be crucial for stakeholders and policymakers in the region.
Original Source: www.fitchsolutions.com
