A new study reveals that climate change poses an increasing risk of urban fires worldwide. By 2100, a rise in global temperatures above 4 degrees Celsius may lead to 300,000 fire-related deaths. With proactive measures, limiting warming could significantly reduce fire-related impacts in urban areas.
A recent study published in the online journal Nature Cities highlights the increasing risk of urban fires globally as a result of climate change. Researchers analyzed fire data and temperature records from over 2,800 cities worldwide, representing more than 20% of the global population. The findings suggest that if global warming exceeds 4 degrees Celsius, there could be approximately 300,000 fire-related fatalities and over a million injuries by the year 2100.
The study forecasts a significant rise in outdoor and vehicle fires under a high-emission scenario, projecting a 22.2% increase in outdoor fires and an 11.6% increase in vehicle fires by 2100, while building fires may experience a slight decline of 4.6%. Specifically, a 1-degree Celsius rise in temperature correlates with an increase of 3.3% in vehicle fires and 6.9% in outdoor fires. The analysis emphasizes that vehicle fires and outdoor fires are disproportionately affected by rising temperatures.
New Zealand is predicted to experience the most severe impact, with a potential 40% increase in city fires if warming surpasses 4 degrees Celsius. The researchers assert that these findings can inform the development of enhanced fire prevention strategies, such as better management of fire fuel. However, the study acknowledges limitations, including insufficient data from Africa and South America, and the need for further research to assess the impact of electric vehicles on fire incidence.
In light of these outcomes, there is an urgent need for global efforts to mitigate climate change to reduce the risk of urban fires. The researchers advocate for proactive measures that can be taken to address these alarming predictions and safeguard urban communities from the devastating impacts of climate-induced fires.
In summary, the study underscores the escalating threat of urban fires as climate change progresses, with dire predictions for the future if global warming is not curtailed. The potential for hundreds of thousands of fire-related casualties emphasizes the need for immediate action and effective fire prevention strategies. Enhanced understanding of this issue is crucial for urban planning and policy-making to mitigate these risks.
Original Source: www.aa.com.tr
