The conflict in Sudan continues, with the Sudanese Armed Forces making progress in Khartoum while the Rapid Support Forces seek to form a parallel government amid losing credibility. As the humanitarian crisis deepens, experts express concerns over potential escalations and the political ramifications of the ongoing warfare. The international community’s approach has yet to yield effective results, casting doubt on future stability and governance.
Nearly two years into the conflict in Sudan, the situation remains grave as the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) achieve significant territorial gains in Khartoum, while the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) endeavor to establish a parallel government. This ongoing war, which began in April 2023, has resulted in thousands of fatalities and displaced over 12 million individuals, exacerbating the humanitarian crisis and raising questions about Sudan’s future and peace prospects.
The RSF’s recent actions, including the signing of a political charter in Kenya, reflect their struggles with credibility and international sanctions. According to Sudanese analyst Jihad Mashamoun, their quest for forming a parallel government stems from a desperate need for recognition and legitimacy amid significant territorial losses. He draws parallels between the RSF’s ambitions and the situation in Libya, where rival factions vie for power.
The Sudanese army has made uninterrupted progress, recently capturing key cities and threatening the RSF’s influence in Khartoum. Alan Boswell from the International Crisis Group notes that regaining control over the capital is crucial; however, such advancements may merely displace fighting to other regions like Darfur and Kordofan. The government forces’ efforts, including offering amnesty to former RSF members, are intended to bolster their standing.
Despite these military gains, experts remain hesitant to predict an end to the conflict. The potential for escalation remains high as foreign interests may exacerbate the situation. Furthermore, uncertainty looms over any political resolution, as SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan may face opposition from his military counterparts to any deals with the RSF. The international community’s current strategy of treating both factions equally has yielded limited success, prompting concerns over the future political landscape post-conflict.
In summary, the significant military advances by the SAF in Sudan could redefine the ongoing conflict, but the future remains uncertain. The RSF’s efforts to establish a parallel government highlight its waning legitimacy and the increasing complexity of the situation. Observers remain cautious, noting that the potential for further escalation exists while a genuine resolution hinges on the responses of both domestic and international stakeholders. The ultimate resolution will likely involve addressing the aspirations of Sudan’s civilian population for democracy and accountability.
Original Source: www.aa.com.tr
