In the February 15 presidential elections in Abkhazia, Badra Gunba, backed by Russia, did not secure a majority, leading to a runoff against Adgur Ardzinba, who opposes certain Russian policies. Polling stations in Moscow and Cherkessk were only open for the first round, complicating the runoff outcome. The elections have been condemned by Georgia’s Foreign Ministry and the EU, highlighting the ongoing international dispute over Abkhazia’s status.
In the recent presidential election held on February 15 in Abkhazia, a breakaway region of Georgia backed by Russia, all candidates showcased pro-Russian sentiments. Despite the administration’s backing, the acting leader, Badra Gunba, was unable to achieve the necessary majority, resulting in a runoff against Adgur Ardzinba, who opposes certain Russian economic policies. The Election Commission confirmed Gunba’s failure to meet the 50 percent threshold, setting the stage for a decisive second round by March 1.
Gunba faces challenges in the runoff since polling stations in key cities like Moscow and Cherkessk, where he enjoys significant support, were operational only in the first round. The upcoming runoff will introduce a protest vote option, complicating the electoral dynamics further. Taking office on November 19 after Aslan Bzhania’s resignation amid public protests against a controversial investment deal with Russia, Gunba now navigates a precarious political landscape.
Ardzinba, a former economy minister and leader of the Abkhaz People’s Movement, campaigned against the contentious agreement with Russia, while still asserting the necessity of maintaining close ties with Moscow. Some Russian pro-government media outlets have attempted to tarnish his image by labeling him as “pro-Turkish.” In response, Georgia’s Foreign Ministry condemned the elections held in the Russian-occupied territory, calling for international denunciation of Moscow’s ongoing interference.
Internationally, Abkhazia is largely unrecognized as an independent entity, with only a few nations, including Russia and Nicaragua, acknowledging its status. Despite Russia’s ongoing military presence and strategic planning for a naval base in the region, the 2023 elections are viewed in light of increased tensions surrounding Russian influence, especially following the rejection of an investment deal by Abkhazia’s parliament after Bzhania’s resignation.
Moscow’s tactics in supporting Gunba are evident. Just days ahead of the election, Russian authorities facilitated a test flight to a previously unused airport in Abkhazia, reinforcing Gunba’s campaign message with pledges of renewed support. Gunba’s meeting with prominent Russian officials was accompanied by the announcement of resumed financial aid and increased electricity supplies, essential during severe shortages in the region.
With the second election round approaching, Moscow’s influence looms large. Gunba’s inability to secure a majority reflects a growing apprehension among Abkhazia’s populace concerning Russian economic dominion. As the runoff awaits, it remains uncertain if it will yield a different result, while the EU continues to assert support for Georgia’s territorial sovereignty, rejecting the legitimacy of the electoral process in Abkhazia.
The Abkhaz presidential election reveals the complexities of Russian influence amidst local dissent. Badra Gunba, favored by Moscow, must now contend with a runoff against Adgur Ardzinba, who criticizes certain economic policies. The results underscore growing public unease regarding Russia’s economic ambitions in the region, while international condemnation of the electoral process signals ongoing geopolitical tensions. The future governance of Abkhazia remains uncertain as the runoff approaches.
Original Source: www.rferl.org
