A recent CGSC panel analyzed the condition of Iran and the Axis of Resistance, emphasizing recent setbacks and their implications on the regional power dynamics. Experts shared insights into U.S.-Iran relations, historical tensions, and the impact of internal dissent on the regime’s longevity. Key conclusions drawn include the weakening of the Axis of Resistance and the aspiration of Iranians for democratic values amidst regime repression.
The recent Cultural and Area Studies panel, hosted by the Army University’s Command and General Staff College (CGSC) on February 6, 2025, explored the current status of Iran and the Axis of Resistance. This coalition, comprised of Iranian-backed militias and political factions, is facing considerable challenges and is under scrutiny regarding whether it is a declining power or an evolving threat.
Dr. Mahir J. Ibrahimov, the Director of the Cultural and Area Studies Office, stated that this discussion serves as a crucial examination of the ongoing challenges faced by the United States and its allies in relation to Iran. Faculty members from CGSC contributed their insights, particularly regarding the cultural, economic, and political influences that have historically shaped Iran’s power dynamics in the region and its relations with the West.
Mark J. Bosse, Chair of Diplomacy Studies at CGSC, remarked, “It hasn’t been a good couple of years for Iran and the ‘Axis of Resistance.’” Yahya Sinwar, a leader in Hamas responsible for the recent attacks on Israel, aimed to prompt conflict that would activate the Axis but has not achieved his goal. The Axis has sustained significant losses, including many Hamas fighters and the leadership of both Hamas and Hezbollah.
New leadership in Lebanon and Syria has distanced itself from Iranian control, and the Houthis have halted their attacks in the Red Sea. Bosse elaborated on Iran’s historical resilience in adapting to crises, stating, “Throughout history, Iran has been adept at responding and adapting to internal and external crisis to remain in power.”
The panel also featured perspectives from Dr. Tirdad Daei, an instructional specialist at CGSC, who discussed the complex history of U.S.-Iran relations. He traced their ties back to 1833 and highlighted the pivotal moments that led to increased mistrust, including the U.S. involvement in the 1953 coup and the Iranian hostage crisis of 1979-1981.
Daei emphasized that despite decades of antagonism, the Iranian public continues to admire American democratic values, noting, “The divide between Iranian people and the regime is a critical factor in U.S. and Iran relations.” He underscored the internal struggle of the Iranian people, who yearn for freedom amidst ongoing regime repression.
Gary Hobin, an Assistant Professor, described the Axis of Resistance as a conglomerate of militias influenced by Iran but not strictly controlled by it. Each faction has its own distinct interests, leading to collaboration only when these interests align. He illustrated this with the recent disruption of the Syrian link in the resistance network, impacting the collective effectiveness of these groups.
Hobin also mentioned the emergence of protests among Iranian opposition groups, which have gained attention from broader segments of the population. However, he cautioned that these protests often lack direction and unified leadership, limiting their impact. The panel concluded with a question-and-answer segment that delved into further issues regarding Syria and Turkey.
This panel is part of a recurring seminar series examined by CASO and CGSC that addresses significant operational and strategic topics for the U.S., with events live-streamed for wider access.
The panel highlighted the precarious situation of Iran and the Axis of Resistance, marked by significant losses and weakened influence in the region. Experts presented a nuanced understanding of U.S.-Iran relations, tracing back to historical tensions, while emphasizing the dissociation between the Iranian regime and its populace. Moving forward, the ongoing dynamics within Iran and the changing landscape of the Axis of Resistance will be crucial in shaping regional stability and U.S. foreign policy. Understanding these factors is imperative for engaging with Iran and supporting the aspirations of its people for a democratic future.
Original Source: www.dvidshub.net
