The National Hurricane Center is tracking two disturbances, including Subtropical Storm Patty located near the Azores, and anticipates a tropical depression could form in the southwestern Caribbean. Current forecasts suggest Texas is not at risk, but monitoring is essential as the hurricane season progresses into November.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is currently monitoring two weather disturbances, including the recent formation of Subtropical Storm Patty. Forecasters predict a high probability of tropical depression development in the southwestern Caribbean within the coming days, with an 80% chance of a broad low-pressure system forming. This system is anticipated to move generally northward to northwestward. Another disturbance, situated near Puerto Rico, is expected to generate thunderstorms across the Greater Antilles before being absorbed into the Caribbean system. Meanwhile, Subtropical Storm Patty is located about 300 miles west-northwest of the Azores with sustained winds of 65 mph, moving east-southeast at 13 mph. There are indications this storm may weaken by early next week. While the current forecasts suggest that Texas is not at immediate risk, residents should remain vigilant as changes can occur rapidly, especially during the November hurricane season, which has historically seen limited storm activity along the U.S. coast. The upcoming weather developments merit close attention, particularly as the Atlantic hurricane season approaches its conclusion at the end of November.
The Atlantic hurricane season, spanning from June 1 to November 30, often shows a marked uptick in tropical storm activity during its latter weeks. Storm developments this late in the season are typically closer to the U.S., focusing on the Caribbean and southeastern U.S. coastline. According to the National Hurricane Center, traditionally, November has seen only a handful of hurricanes make landfall in the United States since 1851, underscoring the rare nature of such events during this month. Given the warm waters and low wind shear across the Caribbean, the potential for development exists, which could impact areas adjacently, such as Jamaica and Cuba, while Texas remains currently unaffected. The atmosphere above the western Caribbean remains conducive to tropical formation, emphasizing the importance of continuous monitoring.
In summary, while Subtropical Storm Patty poses no immediate threat to Texas and the U.S. coasts this weekend, fluctuations in weather patterns could alter that outlook. The potential development of a tropical depression in the southwestern Caribbean indicates a need for vigilance in the coming days. September and October tend to feature more impactful storm systems; thus, residents are encouraged to stay informed through reputable weather channels as the situation evolves.
Original Source: www.statesman.com
