Predictions from forecasters at the National Hurricane Center suggest that the active Caribbean could produce a new storm within a week. With a month left in the hurricane season, there are several tropical disturbances being monitored, one of which has a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression. Other systems show varied potential for development in the coming days.
Forecasts indicate that the Caribbean remains active, with the potential for a new storm to form within the coming week. With one month remaining in the hurricane season, experts are monitoring several tropical disturbances that may escalate into storms soon. The National Hurricane Center has reported that one disturbance, which has been hovering south of Jamaica, currently possesses a 60% probability of intensifying into a tropical depression over the next week and a 10% chance within the next two days. Forecasters predict that this system is likely to evolve into a tropical depression by the weekend or early next week as it progresses northward and northwestward. They stated, “Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days across portions of the area.” A second disturbance has recently emerged, categorized as a trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico, with a 10% chance of development over the next two to seven days. “Slow development of this system is possible during the next 2-3 days as it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean,” the forecasters noted. Aside from these, a third system has been identified as a non-tropical area of low pressure located far north in the Atlantic. As of the latest assessment by the hurricane center at 2 p.m. on Thursday, there exists a 20% likelihood of development for this system in the upcoming days.
The Caribbean region is currently in the midst of an active hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30. During this time, the National Hurricane Center closely monitors atmospheric conditions that could lead to tropical storms or hurricanes. As such, forecasters analyze various data points that indicate the likelihood of storm formation, including wind patterns and systemic pressures. The presence of disturbances can lead to significant weather changes, including heavy rainfall and potential flooding, especially in coastal regions of the Caribbean.
In summary, the Caribbean is experiencing active meteorological conditions, with multiple disturbances under observation that may potentially develop into storms in the near future. The National Hurricane Center is particularly focused on a disturbance south of Jamaica with a heightened probability of forming into a tropical depression, while also watching other systems with lower chances of development. As the hurricane season progresses, vigilance is warranted to mitigate potential impacts from severe weather.
Original Source: www.miamiherald.com
