China’s dominance in cobalt production, particularly in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, poses significant challenges for U.S. supply chain initiatives aimed at reducing foreign dependency. A study reveals that a substantial portion of global mined cobalt is at risk of being classified under the foreign entity clause of the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, complicating American efforts for secure supply chains.
China’s predominance in the critical minerals sector presents significant challenges for the United States, particularly concerning its ambitions to establish a secure supply chain. A recent study highlights that Chinese enterprises hold sway over roughly 66% of cobalt production in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), a nation that is responsible for approximately 74% of the global cobalt supply. This dominance of Chinese corporations introduces a substantial risk of encountering complications with the foreign entity clause outlined in the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Among the notable companies, CMOC, formerly known as China Molybdenum, emerges as a leading producer of cobalt, operating major facilities in the DRC, specifically the Tenke Fungurume mine and the Kisanfu project. Benchmark Minerals, the organization conducting the analysis, indicates that the aforementioned IRA clause may pose a challenge for such entities identified as foreign entities of concern. The study further indicates that an estimated 60% of the worldwide supply of mined cobalt in 2024 is anticipated to originate from assets classified under this foreign entity of concern status or those that are deemed to be at high risk of such classification. The clause specifically targets entities that are owned, controlled, or fall under the jurisdictions of nations identified as adversaries, including China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea.
The increasing reliance on critical minerals such as cobalt for the development of advanced technologies and green energy solutions has heightened geopolitical tensions, especially between the United States and China. Cobalt, essential for battery manufacture in electric vehicles and other electronics, has become a focal point in discussions regarding supply chain security. The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) aims to reduce dependency on foreign sources by promoting domestic production and fortifying supply chains; however, China’s substantial control of mineral resources complicates these objectives. The Democratic Republic of the Congo, with its rich mineral deposits yet dominated by Chinese firms, poses unique challenges in this context.
In summary, China’s control over critical mineral resources, particularly cobalt in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, poses considerable risks to U.S. supply chain strategies. With over half of the projected mined cobalt supply facing the possibility of being classified under the IRA’s foreign entity clause, American policymakers will need to navigate these complexities to ensure national interests are protected. The reliance on foreign entities from nations categorized as strategic adversaries raises essential questions about future resource availability and supply chain resilience.
Original Source: www.scmp.com