Severe Drought Risks for Frogs and Toads Due to Climate Change: Up to 33% Habitat Loss by 2100

A recent study reveals that climate change may lead to severe water stress for frogs and toads, contributing to a potential habitat loss of up to 33.6% by 2100. This research highlights the risks posed by escalating drought conditions and increased temperatures, emphasizing the critical status of amphibians as the most threatened vertebrates. Urgent conservation measures are needed to mitigate these impacts and protect vulnerable species.

Recent research indicates that climate change will significantly impact frogs and toads, leading to severe water stress and the potential loss of up to 33.6% of their habitats by the end of this century. A study published in the journal Nature examined the effects of climate change on anuran habitats, predicting that between 15.4% and 36.1% could become arid due to prolonged drought conditions stemming from two warming scenarios: a moderate increase of 2 degrees Celsius and a high-emission scenario with a 4 degrees Celsius rise. According to the 2023 Second Global Amphibian Assessment, nearly 41% of amphibian species face extinction risk, positioning amphibians as the most threatened class of vertebrates. The authors of the study cautioned that the transition to arid conditions will likely exacerbate water loss rates among amphibians, adversely affecting their mobility, reproductive capacity, and increasing their susceptibility to diseases. The researchers mapped the combined impacts of drought and warming, forecasting that by the year 2100, 6.6% of areas currently occupied by anurans will endure arid conditions under the moderate warming scenario, while this figure could escalate to 33.6% under the high-emission scenario. Furthermore, between 2080 and 2100, regions inhabited by anurans are projected to undergo more severe, frequent, and prolonged droughts, particularly in parts of the Americas, southern Africa, Europe, and southern Australia, with the Amazon and Atlantic forests being most at risk. The study also investigated water conservation mechanisms in different frog species, including ground-dwelling, arboreal, and burrowing frogs. It was found that in tropical environments, frog activity diminished across all climate scenarios, with warming alone causing a 3.4% decrease, while drought conditions led to a 21.7% decline, and the combination of both resulted in a 26% reduction in activity. The research highlighted that the interaction of warming and drought impaired the frogs’ physiological functions, leading to decreased thermal tolerance and altered preferred body temperatures. The scientists noted that amphibians utilize evaporative water loss (EWL) as a temperature regulatory mechanism in extreme heat, but this leads to dehydration and increased energy requirements. Consequently, the trade-off in thermoregulation diminishes their dispersal capabilities, reproductive opportunities, and overall activity. Moreover, water stress is detrimental to essential physiological functions, including blood circulation, oxygen transportation, and brain function, resulting in impaired muscle performance, mate-seeking, and foraging abilities. “Stream-dwelling and semiaquatic ecotypes are expected to be at greater risk of desiccation stress than arboreal or fossorial ecotypes, due to differences in adaptation to varying water exposure in their environments,” the study explained. While frogs exhibit phenological plasticity that may offer some resilience against climate change, the capacity to acclimatize will ultimately determine their survival in increasingly arid environments. In summary, the findings powerfully underscore the compounded threat of rising temperatures and environmental drying on anuran populations, necessitating urgent conservation measures and adaptive strategies to mitigate these risks.

Climate change poses a significant threat to amphibians, particularly frogs and toads, which are experiencing alarming levels of habitat loss and extinction risks. The increasing frequency of drought conditions, coupled with rising global temperatures, creates a perfect storm that compromises their survival. Current studies, such as those published in reputable journals like *Nature*, are crucial for understanding these threats and informing conservation efforts. As a result, understanding the physiological responses of these species to climate changes is vital for developing strategies to protect them.

In conclusion, the research underscores the dire implications of climate change on frog and toad populations, predicting substantial habitat loss and heightened risks due to water stress. The synergistic effects of warming and drought present significant challenges to their physiological survival and ecological integrity. It is imperative that conservation efforts be prioritized to address these emerging threats and enhance the resilience of anuran species in the face of climate variability.

Original Source: www.downtoearth.org.in

About Allegra Nguyen

Allegra Nguyen is an accomplished journalist with over a decade of experience reporting for leading news outlets. She began her career covering local politics and quickly expanded her expertise to international affairs. Allegra has a keen eye for investigative reporting and has received numerous accolades for her dedication to uncovering the truth. With a master's degree in Journalism from Columbia University, she blends rigorous research with compelling storytelling to engage her audience.

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