Turkey has enhanced its ties with Somalia through the deployment of an energy research vessel, part of a broader energy deal. However, increasing tensions with Ethiopia, particularly regarding Somalia’s territorial claims over Somaliland, pose risks to Turkey’s investments. Mediation efforts by Turkey remain crucial but are complicated by Egypt’s military support to Somalia amidst the backdrop of regional rivalries.
Turkey’s strategic engagement with Somalia has intensified recently with the deployment of an energy research vessel, the Oruc Reis, along with two naval ships. This development underscores Turkey’s commitment to enhancing bilateral relations and its interests in Somalia’s energy sector. Notably, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was present at the ship’s departure ceremony, symbolizing Ankara’s significant investment in Somalia, where it has already established the largest embassy globally and a military base. Turkey also maintains control over the port of Mogadishu through a Turkish company. Further solidifying its presence, Turkey signed a two-part defense agreement with Somalia earlier this year, complemented by an energy exploration deal in March. Geopolitical consultant Norman Rickelfs emphasizes the importance of stable Ethiopian-Somali relations for Turkey’s pursuits in the region. However, the escalation of tensions between Ethiopia and Somalia poses a substantial risk to Turkish investments. This conflict was exacerbated when Ethiopia entered into a memorandum of understanding with Somaliland, a region that has declared independence from Somalia. The agreement provides Ethiopia with reliable maritime access while Somalia views it as a breach of its sovereignty. Meanwhile, Turkey has attempted to mediate the discord to foster cooperation between the two nations; however, negotiations have been stalled, especially following Egypt’s recent military support to Somalia, which complicates the situation further. Egypt’s military involvement and defense pact with Somalia represent not only a shift in alliances but also a lingering contention with Ethiopia regarding the Nile River dam project, which deepens their historical rivalry. Kaan Devecioglu from the Ankara-based think tank Orsam suggests that Egypt’s military presence in Somalia is a strategic move in the regional power dynamics, and he highlights the necessity for careful management of these rivalries to prevent conflict. Despite Turkey’s efforts to mediate, experts like Omar Mahmood from the International Crisis Group warn that time is of the essence for Ankara. Current hostilities and lack of progress in negotiations with no prospective dates for talks indicate that greater international participation may be necessary to facilitate peace. The ongoing instability in the Horn of Africa remains a pressing matter as it is situated along crucial global trade routes.
The article discusses the escalating relationship between Turkey and Somalia, particularly focused on energy investments amidst increasing tensions with Ethiopia. It explores Turkey’s significant diplomatic and military ties to Somalia along with its mediating role in regional conflicts. However, it also outlines the challenges posed by Ethiopia’s agreements with Somaliland, which Somalia contests, leading to a complex geopolitical climate that threatens investments and stability in the Horn of Africa.
In conclusion, Turkey’s deepening relations with Somalia are showcased through its military and economic engagement, specifically in energy exploration. Yet, these endeavors are jeopardized by rising tensions with Ethiopia, exacerbated by Egypt’s military involvement with Somalia. Moving forward, the ability of Turkey to mediate effectively in the region will be critical, necessitating potential international support to navigate these complex geopolitical dynamics.
Original Source: www.rfi.fr
